There are two easily identifiable leaky bits.

Small amount coming from the sump plug - I was thinking about getting a new sump plug with a temp sender on it anyway so I can monitor my oil temp, so that's not awful news - new plug and washer should hopefully fix it.
but, this one looks like a bit of a bigger issue

It's definitely where the gearbox meets the crankcase....
I asked for common causes of leaks on a previous thread. Gearbox input shaft seal and flywheel seal were mentioned, among others. Given the location of the big oil drip about to fall (grey blob on the left of the pic), does it seem likely that it's one of these seals that's failed?
Despite not having much of a clue, I've done almost all of the work on the van myself thus far and I'd like to keep it going that way - the Haynes manual gives removing the gearbox a sporty sounding 3 spanner difficulty rating, which I'm game for.
As ever, any sage advice on offer for the jobs at hand is always gratefully accepted.